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Sunday, August 15, 2021

BE Patient NSW- There Is Light At The End Of The Tunnel - COVID-19 - Raul Arregui

 I thought I would share some good news today. There is light at the end of the tunnel !! 


Uruguay had a tough battle with COVID. For a small nation with only about 3.5m people, they had more than 380k cases of covid and more than 6k deaths. If we compare it with NSW, we have about 2.2x their population (8.1m) so if we had the same level of COVID cases we would have almost 840k cases and about 13k deaths ... we only have 13k cases and 104 deaths. Also, the rate of cases to deaths for Uruguay is 16 deaths every 1000 cases; however, for NSW it is only 8 deaths per 1000 cases. Uruguay has a very good health care system, but the large volume of cases might have exceeded their health system capacity causing the high death toll there. So, we are handling COVID-19 "delta" very well in NSW considering all this.

Now the light at the end of the tunnel, Uruguay has vaccinated 75.5% of their population, almost 70% fully vaccinated. See the graphs showing vaccination/cases/deaths below for the same period (mid-March to now). You will be able to see how as the population was getting fully vaccinated, cases and deaths reduced until almost disappearing. That is what's going to happen in NSW too when we reach the same levels of vaccination, around mid-November. Just a couple of months and we'll be there. 
See graphs below:

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