Well, so far we have 4 declared candidates running for the Federal seat of Gilmore:
Declared candidates:
Andrew Constance (Liberal Party)
Jordan Maloney (United Australian Party)
Carmel McCallum (The Greens)
Fiona Phillips (Australian Labor Party)
So, we have Fiona Phillips (ALP), seeking her second term to represent the area for the Australian Government and the third time running for the seat. Click here for further wikipedia details
Andrew Constance (LIB) former NSW Treasurer & Transport Minister and former Member for the State Seat of Bega Click here for further wikipedia details
Jordan Maloney (UAP)is a first-timer candidate and is a fresh face coming into the political scene.
Carmel McCallum (Greens) second time a running candidate for the seat
Click here for further details
2019 Resuts
2019 Result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiona Phillips | ALP | 38,972 | 36.2 | -3.0 |
| Warren Mundine | LIB | 31,427 | 29.2 | -16.1 |
| Katrina Hodgkinson | NAT | 13,462 | 12.5 | +12.5 |
| Carmel Mary McCallum | GRN | 10,740 | 10.0 | -0.5 |
| Grant Schultz | IND | 7,585 | 7.0 | +7.0 |
| Milton Leslight | UAP | 3,638 | 3.4 | +3.4 |
| Serah Kolukulapally | CDP | 1,853 | 1.7 | -3.3 |
| After Preferences | ||||
| Fiona Phillips | ALP | 56,652 | 52.6 | +3.3 |
| Warren Mundine | LIB | 51,025 | 47.4 | -3.3 |
Well looking at the recent results, there will be no Christian Democrat Party and Nationals and no Independents. As a marginal 2.6% swinging seat at hand required unseating the current candidate - it is considered a hot seat to watch around Australia.
With all the Electoral Polls predicting the wrong winner at the last Federal Election, in my books, the only polls that count are election day. You've probably heard that before!
*Based on the 2019 results, if the 83.7% National votes might transfer to Liberal Party candidate Andrew Constance, which is 11,267 votes approximately and then ALP candidate, Fiona Phillips 2, 195 votes
*Also based on the 2019 results, the CDP votes 76% might be transferred to Liberal Party candidate Andrew Constance and then at least 24% might be transferred to ALP Candidate, Fiona Phillips. Those figures represent 1,408 for LIB Candidate Andrew Constance and 444 for ALP candidate Fiona Phillips
*Then from the 2019 results, Independent votes might be distributed 54% to ALP candidate, Fiona Phillips and 46% to LIB candidate, Andrew Constance, representing figures of 4,095 to ALP Candidate, Fiona Phillips and 3,490 to LIB candidate, Andrew Constance
Yet, what we must consider here, is it has been a tough last two and a bit years with COVID-19 restrictions, isolation, people working from home, business may have suffered a bit/lot from this and are starting to pick up. No government of the day around the world didn't have difficulty making decisions and there would have been mostly supported by their opposition parties. We've had fires and now we have rains, no need to blame anyone, it is natural in Australia. Yet for some people it was devasting. I always wonder how people survive these natural disasters, especially if not covered by insurance for the buildings.
We can't judge this election and compare it to the previous election, as we have reduced candidates numbers and new candidates running for election in Gilmore. The political field was also different to this year's election and it will depend on what each candidate is offering to each voter and how it will be budgeted. Although, for most voters, the budgeting is not important it is what is offered and promised. There are voters that swing from the candidate during the last three years and decide on the day of polling.
So, in rounding this up, each and everyone's vote in Gilmore is so important. Just make sure you make sure your vote counts, no matter, who you vote for - an informal vote is really a wasted vote. We all should be proud of making that important vote.
Click here on how to vote from the Australian Electoral Commission
A tip from me, if you are not within the electorate of Gilmore on 21st may 2022, go pre-poll or postal vote. On postal vote, I heard someone requested it, never received male and received a fine after the election for not voting.
Click here to meet the Gilmore Candidates on 4th May 2022
Click here for further details on ABC website - Gilmore Candidates
* Based on reduced candidates leaving two-party preferred candidates
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