Coronavirus COVID 19 Daily Reports - From Raul Arregui's Face Book Page

We have been present with global Coronavirus COVID-19 Reports from Raul Arregui's Face Book Page, for the past few weeks. Now, he is presenting daily reports on the following li k below. We hope you appreciate them, they are important to the way we have changed our lives and how governments have changed our lives. 


COVID-19 daily reports:
https://arregui.net/2020/05/06/covid-19-graphs-06may2020/


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3rd Update On Statistics And Comments Of Coronavirus COVID-19 From Raul Arregui's Face Book Page

Australia - at current trend, Australia could reach 10,000 cases by day "33" (Apr 12th); while mortality rate continues low (could reach 50 deaths by day "35" - Apr 14th) - Total recovered cases remained unchanged as 585; while severe cases increased to 85 from 50 (70% increase)

Argentina - at current trend, Argentina could reach 4000 cases by day "32" (Apr 21st); mortality rate remains as previously (could reach 200 deaths by day "35" - Apr 24th) - Total recovered cases increased to 266 from 256 (4%); no severe cases reported to the wHO

USA - discovered cause of data gap, USA reports 48 hrs old data to WHO to include in world reports; so instead of treating the gap as one (24 hrs) day jump I corrected my model and spread it into two (48 hrs) days equally. That has corrected the trend predictor. With the new model, USA number of cases could reach 1,000,000 cases by day "47" (Apr 19th) ; mortality rate shows a steep climb and at current trend USA could pass Italy by day "35" (Apr 7th), and could reach 50,000 deaths by day "47" (Apr 19th) - Total recovered cases increased to 12,044 from 10,403 (16% increase); severe cases increased to 5787 from 5421 (7% increase)

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2nd Update On Statistics And Comments Of Coronavirus COVID-19 From Raul Arregui's Face Book Page

1st April 2020:
1) Australia - curve flattened a bit but not enough, at present trend we'll still reach 10,000 by day "30" (9th Apr for Australia), NSW accounts for around 50% of cases and need to do more to slow down the trend - Mortality rate low due to early testing, at present trend we'd be around 50 deaths by day "36" (15th April for Australia)

2) Argentina - curve flatter than Australia, at present trend they'll ready around 4,000 by day "30" (significantly less than Australia, while Argentina has 2x the population and 5x the population density), clearly the full lock-down in Argentina is making a difference - Mortality rate is higher though, at the current trend deaths could probably exceed 250 by day "36"; Argentina needs to test more and test early to identify and treat cases early enough.

3) USA continues a steep climb, and getting worse. At present trend, USA could exceed 1,000,000 infected by around 17th April, that would exceed their health system capacity to cope with the crisis - Mortality rate is also increasing in the USA, at current trend USA could exceed Italy's death toll before 15th Apr now.
"Editor's Notes: We encourage from you (our readers), any comments as feed back to improve  this blogspot or providing important  likes and or recommendations. We also encourage sharing this post to your friends and/or families, spreading this 'post' further into our wonderful world"

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